The Espresso Index

Paper · 2014 · intermediate level

Where Is the Land of Opportunity? The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the United States

Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren, Patrick Kline, Emmanuel Saez

Venue
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129(4), 1553–1623
Link
publisher / source page

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In plain language

Used tax records for 40+ million children and parents to map how much a child's location affects their chances of out-earning their parents — e.g., a poor child's shot at reaching the top fifth is 4.4% in Charlotte vs. 12.9% in San Jose.

Technical summary

Administrative-data study of intergenerational mobility by U.S. commuting zone; identifies five correlates of high-mobility areas: less segregation, less inequality, better primary schools, more social capital, more family stability.

Key takeaways

  • Shifted the field's unit of analysis from national trends to place-level variation.
  • Basis for the Opportunity Insights 'Opportunity Atlas' and much subsequent place-based policy research.

Themes

Opportunity & Mobility

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